Who will win AFCON 2022? Betting favorites, group winners and futures odds

The 2022 Africa Cup of Nations will kick off on January 9, some six months later than initially planned, but the tournament is finally here.

The players have departed from their club teams to travel to Africa for the competition and will begin training with their respective national teams prior to the start of the tournament. After a couple of games on opening day, the group stage will see three or four games played per day.

The top two teams from each of the six groups will advance to the knockout phase, along with the top four third-ranked teams based on points. The knockout stage begins on January 23 and is a quick switch to each subsequent round, with the quarterfinals on January 29, the semi-finals on February 2, and the championship and third-place games on February 6.

AFCON 2022 Odds: Who Will Win It All?

The tournament field is wide open. Of the 24 teams that qualified for the tournament, seven finished qualifying without losing. And the ranking was tight, with 10 of the 11 ranking groups decided by a mere one or two point margin. Teams fought for AFCON spots until the last day.

is the defending champion, led by Manchester City’s Riyad Mahrez, who could not be played at times in the 2019 edition. However, they will face stiff competition from both as led by Liverpool stars (Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mane ).

The team has several recognizable names and is captained by Wolves stalwart Romain Saiss. He broke through qualifying but will not feature his biggest star in Cameroon: Napoli forward Victor Osimhen, who tested positive for COVID-19 and is still recovering from a serious facial injury.

Here are the top 10 teams projected to win it all with odds courtesy of DraftKings and BetMGM:

Nation BetMGM DraftKings
Senegal +550 +450
Algeria +600 +550
Egypt +600 +650
Ivory Coast +750 +800
Morocco +900 +800
Nigeria +800 +1000
Cameroon +800 +1000
Tunisia +1600 +1400
Ghana +1400 +1400
Mali +2200 +1800

The BetMGM futures market also presents probabilities for teams to reach the final. They are essentially the odds of winning the trophy halved:

Nation BetMGM
Senegal +250
Algeria +275
Egypt +275
Ivory Coast +325
Morocco +400
Nigeria +350
Cameroon +350
Tunisia +800
Ghana +700
Mali +1100

AFCON 2022 Group Winners

Group winner odds are available through DraftKings and BetMGM, and the latter bookmaker’s odds are shown below. (Odds are only related to winning the group, not advancing the group.)

As well as being the small favorite to win it all, Senegal is a big favorite to top Group B (-550). Algeria, Egypt and Morocco are more likely to win their respective group given the quality of the opposition they will face.

Group A Cameroon (-200) Burkina Faso (+300) Cape Verde (+500) Ethiopia (+2500)
B Group Senegal (-550) Guinea (+500) Zimbabwe (+1600) Malawi (+2200)
Group C Morocco (-145) Ghana (+180) Gabon (+550) Comoros (+4000)
Group D Egypt (-145) Nigeria (+115) Guinea-Bissau (+2200) Sudan (+4000)
Group E Algeria (-200) Ivory Coast (+150) Equ. Guinea (+3300) Sierra Leone (+4000)
Group F Tunisia (-185) Mali (+150) Gambia (+2000) Mauritania (+3300)

AFCON Top Scorer 2022

There are many household names among the star-studded squads in Africa this January.

Nobody in the tournament has more international goals than Liverpool. Algeria’s attack is loaded, with Man City joined by, scoring four goals in qualifying and owning an incredible goal record for Qatari club Al-Sadd, scoring 128 goals in 108 games.

Ivory Coast also has several key players facing the net, as a fit Ajax joins the Elephants attack by a pair of Premier League wingers at and. Haller has 12 goals in 17 Eredivisie games this season, but most impressive is that he scored 10 times in six Champions League group stage games as Ajax achieved a perfect group stage record.

Here are the 15 players with the lowest odds of winning the top scorer award at AFCON 2022, courtesy of BetMGM:

Player Country Odd
Mohamed salah Egypt +350
Sadio mane Senegal +700
Riyad mahrez Algeria +800
Islam Slimani Algeria +1100
Sebastien haller Ivory Coast +1200
Vincent Aboubakar Cameroon +1200
Kelechi Iheanacho Nigeria +1400
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang Gabon +1600
Baghdad Bounedjah Algeria +1800
Keita balde Senegal +2000
Youssef En-Nesyri Morocco +2500
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting Cameroon +2500
Odion ighalo Nigeria +2500
Taiwo Awoniyi Nigeria +2500
Andre ayew Ghana +2500