NFL odds, lines, point spreads: Updated playoff betting information for picking every divisional game

The wild-card round of the 2022 NFL playoffs wasn’t as wild as some had hoped. The 49ers stunned the Cowboys, but other than that, most of the favorites were able to win easily and take cover in the process. Bettors will now watch to see if that continues as the lines tighten in the divisional round.

As the 14-team playoff field shrinks to eight, there will be no more double-digit underdogs, barring some unexpected quarterback injury or a COVID outbreak. Most point differentials will stay within a possession, and that will make every half-point line move that much more important.

This is the time of year to keep a sharp focus on betting lines and odds while examining as many trends as you can about the playoff field. This is the time to take advantage of the wealth of past results these teams have amassed, as their trends throughout the season can certainly tell players. something as they prepare to bet on these critical contests.

Injuries will always be consequential as well. Offensive players get all the love, and Derrick Henry will be the big name to watch this week, but don’t forget to watch defensive injuries as well. The Bengals are dealing with a lot of defensive line issues, while the 49ers’ top two defensive players suffered injuries against the Cowboys and may be questionable for their matchup against the Packers. Bottom line, just read the injury report daily and react accordingly as more news about your respective statuses emerges.

For more expert NFL predictions, check out Sporting News picks direct and against the spread for the NFL divisional round.

NFL odds for the divisional round

Below are the latest NFL odds for the divisional round, including point spreads, money lines and over-under totals for each game, according to FanDuel bookmaker.

Last update: Tuesday, January 18.

NFL point spreads divisional round

Play spread
Cincinnati Bengals vs Tennessee Titans TEN -3.5
San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers GB-5.5
Los Angeles Rams vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tuberculosis -3
Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs KC-2.5

NFL Money Lines Divisional Round

Play money line
Cincinnati Bengals vs Tennessee Titans IAS +152
San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers SF +205
Los Angeles Rams vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers LAR+130
Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs BUFF +114

NFL divisional round of over-unders

Play Below
Cincinnati Bengals vs Tennessee Titans 47
San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers 47.5
Los Angeles Rams vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers 48.5
Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs 54.5

The best bets in the NFL for the divisional round

Rams (+4) in Buccaneers

Betting against Tom Brady is never an easy thing to do, but if ever there was a place to do it, this is it.

The Buccaneers are missing much of key offensive personnel for this game. The absences of Chris Godwin and Antonio Brown will draw most of the attention as the Bucs rely more on Mike Evans and Rob Gronkowski, but the biggest potential absence is Tristan Wirfs.

Wirfs suffered an ankle injury in Tampa Bay’s win over the Eagles in the wild card. He limped off the field and into the locker room early in the competition. He tried to return but could not.

Wirfs is the Buccaneers’ best offensive lineman and doesn’t allow much pressure on Tom Brady. That has been instrumental in helping Tampa Bay win this season, as the Buccaneers went just 1-3 in games in which Brady was sacked more than three times. And their only win came against the Falcons in a game that was close before Matt Ryan imploded late, as Atlanta allowed 20 points in the fourth quarter and scored none.

Week Adversary Times Brady Fired Result
two hawks 3 W, 48-25
3 rams 3 L, 34-24
8 Saints 3 L, 36-27
fifteen Saints 4 L, 9-0

Granted, the Bucs just crushed the Eagles by 16 with Wirfs sitting out most of the game and Brady getting sacked four times. That said, the Rams are a more complete team than the Eagles. Matthew Stafford is a better quarterback than Jalen Hurts and should be able to score earlier in the game than Philly (the Eagles didn’t score until the fourth quarter).

More importantly, the Los Angeles defense is well-prepared to compete with the Buccaneers as currently built. Von Miller and Leonard Floyd can take advantage of Wirfs’ possible absence and put pressure on Brady. Aaron Donald will come after Brady down the middle, something the veteran quarterback hates dealing with. And Jalen Ramsey can help eliminate, or at least limit, Mike Evans.

Having said all that, if Wirfs can’t play, fading the Bucs seems like the right move. Could they win the game? Sure. They should still be favored even if Wirfs is out. But would it be surprising to see them lose or play a close game against a playoff team? That is a question worth asking.

Underdogs get more than three points here, which makes this attractive. This contest has a feeling that it will be decided by a point or two, so sticking with the Rams makes sense as they are both good values.

Titans (-3.5) vs. Bengals

What is the first thing you want to avoid when playing against the Titans? You can’t let them run the ball at will. Tennessee may well have a chance to do so given the key injuries the Bengals are dealing with on their defensive line.

Cincinnati lost numerous defensive linemen during its seven-point win over the Raiders. Starting defensive tackle Larry Ogunjobi suffered a foot injury and has been ruled out for the season. Backup tackle Mike Daniels suffered a groin injury that will likely cause him to miss the rest of the season as well.

Worst of all, star defensive end Trey Hendrickson is on concussion protocol. He could recover in a week and be back in action, but if he doesn’t, the Bengals are going to be significantly shorthanded up front, especially at defensive tackle, as top backup Josh Tupou is also dealing with injury. .

The Titans can absolutely take advantage of those defensive absences. Their offensive line is shaky in pass protection, but is among the best run-blocking units in the NFL, with right tackle David Quessenberry possessing the fifth-best run-blocking rating among offensive tackles, by FFP. So the Titans will be positioned to push hard against the Bengals, dominate the line of scrimmage and control the clock with their running game.

That will be especially true if Derrick Henry is able to return to action this week. Henry opened his practice window last Wednesday and has a legitimate chance to play for the first time since suffering a foot injury against the Colts in Week 8. He would feast on the Bengals’ battered defensive line.

The Bengals have a good matchup with their receiving corps against the Titans’ middle group of cornerbacks, but we saw the Raiders limit the Bengals in the red zone last week to keep the game close. If the Titans’ defense can pressure Burrow and force some three-and-outs, it may be difficult for the Bengals’ offense to get into a rhythm.

Bills (+2.5) at Chiefs

This is not a favorable line to bet on underdogs, but the Bills are a great matchup for the Chiefs at this spot. They play the kind of defense that can give Kansas City and Patrick Mahomes a lot of trouble, and their offense should do enough to keep up with them if this turns into a shootout.

That said, it’s all about the Bills’ defense. They were the best stopping unit in the NFL during the regular season and led the league in yards allowed and points allowed. When they played the Chiefs earlier in the season, they limited Kansas City to just 20 points overall.

Statistics per game Total Rank
yards allowed 272.8 1st
passing yards allowed 163 1st
points allowed 17 1st

The Chiefs have certainly changed since then, but one thing hasn’t changed. The Bills’ ability to pressure without having to charge. Buffalo leads the NFL in pressure rate, putting pressure on 30.8 percent of opponents’ dropbacks. That said, the Bills attack just 26 percent of the time, which is the 13th-highest rate in the NFL.

What does that mean? The Bills can constantly pressure quarterbacks with just four pass-rushers. That means they can play with seven guys in coverage, and that’s something Mahomes has struggled against. If you can remove the big play and pressure Mahomes, he tends to be significantly less accurate.

Mahomes’ completion percentage under pressure overall is just 41.8 percent, while his game-worthy turnover percentage is 4.8 under pressure. However, when bombarded, he completes 71.3 percent of his passes with a game-worthy loss percentage of 0.8. So, in essence, you need to pressure Mahomes to reduce the Chiefs’ offense. But you can’t do it at the expense of one of the players you have in cover. Otherwise, it will destroy you.

It’s never fun betting against a top-tier quarterback like Mahomes, but he’s playing another top-five NFL quarterback in Josh Allen. The Bills also scored on every one of their possessions against the Patriots last week, and while they may not be as efficient against a strong Kansas City stopping unit, they can definitely do enough to cover this gap.

It would be nice to get a +3 here, as we’d at least push if this is decided by a field goal, but the Bills could win this outright, so having them as 2.5-point underdogs is a solid move. BetQL agrees with us. Their model rates this as a five-star bet, as they believe the Chiefs should be favored by just 1.5 points. That’s a full point of line value, so we’ll gladly take advantage of that.