Francis Ngannou will begin his journey as the UFC heavyweight champion when he steps into the octagon against interim champion Ciryl Gane at UFC 270 at the Honda Center in Anaheim.
Ngannou returns to action nearly a year after dethroning Stipe Miocic at UFC 260 and will see a familiar face on the other side of the cage in the form of his old training partner Gane. The heavy-handed Ngannou has ripped through his last five opponents with no opponent lasting more than two rounds. But he will be facing an opponent who has yet to taste defeat as a professional mixed martial artist.
Gane made his UFC debut in August 2019 and has been absolutely dominant for the past two and a half years with seven straight wins over the likes of Junior dos Santos, Jairzinho Rozenstruik, Alexander Volkov, Derrick Lewis at UFC 265 for the interim heavyweight title. heavy.
This truly is a fight where the unstoppable force meets the immovable object and Sporting News is here to give you an idea of how to bet on this highly anticipated heavyweight title showdown.
All odds courtesy of fan duel
UFC 270 odds for Francis Ngannou vs. Ciryl Gane
- Francisco Ngannou: +100
- Cyryl Gane: -118
Despite being the champion, Francis Ngannou enters the fight as a +100 underdog, meaning a $100 wager would result in a $100 profit if he were to successfully defend his title. Gane will be the favorite to become the undisputed champion as a -118 favourite, meaning it would take a bet of $118 to win $100.
UFC 270 prop bets for Ngannou vs. I win
- Ngannou by KO/TKO: +125
- Ngannou by submission: +2300
- Ngannou by decision: +1200
- Win by KO/TKO: +250
- Won by submission: +850
- Win By Decision: +420
Ngannou vs. Gane Prediction
This is a truly riveting matchup between the most prolific knockout artist in UFC heavyweight history and an undefeated opponent who has yet to come remotely close to losing a fight. The betting line is a reflection of how close this fight between former sparring partners is and there is not enough value in betting straight up.
Ngannou has never won a decision in his MMA career. If the fight goes to the end, he loses. It’s knockout or bust for Ngannou and it doesn’t get any simpler than that. For that reason, Ngannou winning by decision (+1200) or submission (+2300) should be thrown straight out the window. Which leaves us with Ngannou directly at +100 or via KO/TKO at +125. If you believe in Ngannou, you know which way to go.
As for Win, he offers a lot of variety in how he wins fights, with four knockouts, three submissions and three decisions. The betting line reflects that via KO/TKO (+250), submission (+850) and decision (+420) are not far apart and quite difficult to pick if you are targeting a support value bet.
As for the fight itself, the two fighters are comparable in height but Ngannou has a slight advantage in reach and will be the heavier fighter. Ngannou is an exceptional striker who has gotten better at setting up his power behind a jab while chaining his punches with combinations. But he’s only spent a total of eight minutes and 38 seconds fighting in the octagon in the last 3+ years. If Gane manages to last more than ten minutes, your chances of winning increase exponentially. And it’s plausible considering Gane’s Muay Thai is sharper than anyone Ngannou has faced, and that includes Jairzinho Rozenstruik, whom Gane tore apart over the course of five rounds last February.
It also appears that Ngannou has been more focused on his UFC contract and potential boxing career than the fight in front of him. He’ll surely be locked up when the cage door closes on January 22, but is he ready for a varied and technically sound striker? As long as Gane avoids getting involved in a shootout and mixes up his punches to keep Ngannou honest, he should be able to carry this fight into the later rounds. If he does, he can use his grab to drag a tired Ngannou to the mat and stifle his power in the back of the fight.
Winning by decision is the safest bet considering that Ngannou has never finished in his MMA career. It also has a significant value at +420. However, it’s not out of the realm of possibility for Gane to outbox an exhausted Ngannou with a late submission with his underrated grappling. Being wary of Ngannou’s power will see Gane keep his distance, stay out of trouble and become the undisputed champion by decision in a fight that will have fans on pins and needles.