Eagles vs. Buccaneers odds, prediction, betting trends for NFL wild-card game

When the Eagles take on the Buccaneers to open Sunday’s NFL playoff action in an NFC wild-card game (1 pm ET, Fox), they’ll be looking to pull off a big upset against the reigning Super Bowl champions. Philadelphia rallied to get the No. 7 seed, while Tampa Bay moved up to No. 2 in Week 18.

Jalen Hurts helped the Eagles return to the playoffs under rookie coach Nick Sirianni. They face the daunting task of outmatching Tom Brady and the brainy Bruce Arians.

The Eagles rested players in week 18. The Buccaneers hope to be healthier with several players returning for the game.

Here you will find everything you need to know about betting on Eagles vs. Buccaneers in the 2022 NFL playoffs, including updated odds, trends, and our wild-card game prediction.

Eagles odds vs. Buccaneers for NFL playoff game

  • Spread: Buccaneers for 8.5
  • Below: 49
  • money: Eagles +310, Buccaneers -390

The Buccaneers have been hovering among the double-digit favorites but haven’t gotten there due to some injury concerns and the Eagles playing hard on them during the regular season. This also marks his first home playoff game with Brady, with Super Bowl 55 being considered a neutral exception.

(bet odds per FanDuel bookmaker)

All-time series Eagles vs. Buccaneers

The Buccaneers and Eagles are tied 10-10. Philadelphia led by three until Tampa Bay posted three straight wins, including Thursday night of Week 6, 28-22. Prior to that, the Eagles had won three in a row, snapping the Buccaneers’ three-game winning streak.

Three Trends to Know

—66 percent of margin bettors are attacking the big number for the Bucs and taking the Eagles to cover them.

— 68 percent of over/under bettors like the game to score higher than expected and hit 50, given that the teams combined for 50 points last time.

—The Eagles are 5-4-1 against the spread and 7-3 in the last 10 games with seven over. The Buccaneers are 6-4 ATS and 7-3 SU in the last 10 games with only half getting better.

three things to see

Leonard Fournette (hamstring) isn’t ready to return after resting down the stretch due to his injury. That’s the key, as he dominated last year’s playoffs and also destroyed the Eagles with 127 scrimmage yards and 2 touchdowns in Game 1. The Bucs will also be without Ronald Jones (ankle). They’ll need to be effective on the run and short passes with a combination of Ke’Shawn Vaughn (ribs), returning Giovani Bernard (hip) and Le’Veon Bell.

Rookie DeVonta Smith has been solid at times, but sometimes he gets lost in the game plan. Jalen Reagor and Quez Watkins have shown limited flashes. The Buccaneers will have Carlton Davis, Sean Murphy-Bunting and Jamel Dean in the lineup after they served as their defensive backs during the Super Bowl run. The Eagles won’t be able to pass well to help their contained running game.

Brady is 5-1 against the Eagles in the regular season. He has also beaten them by a Super Bowl victory. But the last time he saw them in the postseason, it wasn’t quite as Philly Special, losing in Super Bowl 52. He’ll want to make amends here even though the team is very different.

Statistics that matter

That’s how many rushing yards per game the Buccaneers allow on average. They’re still going strong, finishing in third place in the regular season. They also gave up just 4.3 yards per carry. That’s huge against the Eagles’ No. 1 rushing offense, which averaged nearly 160 yards per game supplemented by Hurts. The Eagles managed just 100 rushing yards in the first meeting.

Eagles vs. Prediction Buccaneers

The Eagles are outmatched in this game. They will not be able to function effectively with Hurts or otherwise. The Bucs’ pressure and coverage is also solid again against Hurts. The Eagles have also had more leaks on the run defense and haven’t been able to cover tight ends well either. That’s bad news against Brady, who will get a lot of help from Fournette and Gronkowski.