When the Browns (8-7) travel to face the Steelers (7-7-1) in the final game of NFL Week 17 on “Monday Night Football” (8:15 pm ET, ESPN and ESPN2), Two disappointing AFC North teams will attempt to salvage the remainder of their 2021 regular seasons.
Cleveland has battled injuries and COVID-19 concerns to curb the momentum to reach the playoffs last season. Pittsburgh hasn’t been that devastated, but the concern is that there has been a troubled running defense and not enough offense. That has led to both teams staggering around .500, despite high levels of young and veteran talent.
The Browns want to finish with another winning record at the very least. The Steelers, who won the division in 2020, are going from first to worst.
Here’s everything you need to know about betting on the Browns vs. Steelers in Week 17, including updated odds, trends, and our prediction for “Monday Night Football.”
Browns vs Steelers odds for Monday Night Football
- Spread: Brown by 3.5
- Below: 41.5
- Moneyine: Browns -184, Steelers +154
The line has been around a field goal for the Browns all week even though the Steelers are at home at Heinz Field. The Steelers have also seen him grow a half point toward the visitors.
(betting odds per FanDuel sports betting)
Browns vs Steelers all-time series
The Steelers lead the series 78-61-1. They won at Cleveland in Week 8, 15-10. But the Browns had won two games in a row before, including 48-37 in last year’s wild-card playoffs. Before that, the Steelers had won two in a row and 9 of 11. With Ben Roethlisberger starting at quarterback, the Steelers are 25-3-1 against the Browns.
Three trends to know
—55 percent of spread bettors go with the Browns despite the Steelers’ status as classic little underdogs of the night on the road.
—57 percent of above / below average bettors think the total is too low given the offensive potential of both teams driven by running games.
—The Browns are 4-6 against the spread and 4-6 directly in the last 10 games with only four beating. The Steelers are also 4-6 ATS but 5-4-1 SU in their last 10 games. Half of them are gone.
Three things to see
Roethlisberger has strongly suggested that he will retire after the season. He has owned the Browns throughout the years. He will be motivated to deliver the fans and keep working against the Browns on what should be an emotional and heated night.
The Steelers’ running defense sucks. He has fundamental problems up front and in the middle of the linebacker corps. Chubb has been triumphing solo for the Browns and could get Kareem Hunt (questionable at the ankle) back to help him in a heavy running attack. The Browns can lead Chubb to great things here, so Pittsburgh must sell out to contain him at all costs.
Mayfield doesn’t want this to be his last game as a starter for the Browns in Pittsburgh. He is awaiting a new contract, but injuries and continued ineffectiveness have not made it an obstacle for him to be locked up in the long run. A great winning performance would help your case for 2022.
Statistics that matter
That’s how often teams are converting third down against the Steelers defense. That’s good for No. 12 in the league. So even though the Steelers struggle with the run, they’ve often come off the field defensively. The Browns offense is converting third down at just 39.3 percent.
Browns vs Steelers prediction
The Browns and Steelers are evenly matched teams with strong defenses in some cases (fast pass) but weaker defenses elsewhere. They want to win with grinding in the running game with the occasional big pass. The Steelers are built to win another series-sweeping low-scoring game of the season, fueled by Big Ben’s big night.