49ers vs. Packers odds, prediction, betting trends for NFL divisional playoff game

San Francisco faces the Green Bay Packers in the NFC divisional playoffs on Saturday.

Game time is scheduled for 8:15 pm at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisc. The game will be televised and broadcast on FOX and FOX Deportes.

The 49ers were the only underdogs to win wild-card weekend, and they’re a dangerous proposition for the Packers. Green Bay needed a last-second Mason Crosby field goal for a 30-28 victory against San Francisco on September 26.

San Francisco quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo is trying to lead another Super Bowl run under coach Kyle Shanahan, and the Niners will test Green Bay with a pair of playmakers who had 1,000-plus scrimmage yards. I hit on Eli Mitchell and Deebo Samuel. Tight end George Kittle is also a mismatch in the middle of the field. San Francisco has some key defensive injuries worth watching this week.

Green Bay is trying to get back into the NFC championship game for the third year in a row. Aaron Rodgers is the favorite to win a third NFL MVP award, and favorite target Davante Adams is a problem for the 49ers. The Packers also had a week off to rest, and some playmakers who missed time during the regular season could return.

It’s a classic NFC blue blood matchup with implications that could spill over into next season. Here’s everything you need to know about betting on 49ers vs. Packers in the 2022 NFL playoffs, including updated odds, trends, and our prediction for the divisional playoff matchup:

49ers vs. odds Packers for NFL playoff game

  • Spread: Packers -5.5
  • Below: 47.5
  • money line: Packers -255, 49ers +210

The Packers opened as 4.5-point favorites, and that’s gone as low as -6 at some sportsbooks. However, the 49ers went 7-3 S/U and 6-4 ATS on the road this season. This line could bump down slightly before the start.

(Betting Odds by FanDuel Sportsbook)

49ers vs. Packers all-time series

Green Bay leads the all-time series 38-32-1. The Packers and 49ers are meeting in the postseason for the ninth time, and the teams are tied 4-4 in those games. Here’s a look at past playoff matchups and their NFC implications.

YEAR ROUND SCORE FALL
January 6, 1996 Divisional (in SF) Green Bay 27, San Francisco 17 Lost GB NFCCG
January 4, 1997 Divisional (in GB) Green Bay 35, San Francisco 14 GB won SBXXXI
January 11, 1998 NFC champion. (in SF) Green Bay 23, San Francisco 10 Lost GB SBXXXII
January 3, 1999 Wildcard (in SF) San Francisco 30, Green Bay 27 SF Lost Round Div.
January 13, 2002 Wildcard (in GB) Green Bay 25, San Francisco 15 GB lost Round Div.
January 12, 2013 Divisional (in SF) San Francisco 45, Green Bay 31 SF lost SBXLVII
January 5, 2014 Wildcard (in GB) San Francisco 23, Green Bay 20 SF lost NFCCG
January 19, 2020 NFC champion. (in SF) San Francisco 37, Green Bay 20 SF lost SBLIV

Three Trends to Know

—Green Bay went 8-0 S/U and 7-1 ATS at Lambeau Field this season, and is 24-3 S/U and 19-8 ATS at home under third-year coach Matt LaFleur. Green Bay beat NFC West teams Seattle and Los Angeles in the divisional round at home the past two seasons.

—San Francisco has also played the role of road warrior well this season. The 49ers are 7-3 S/U and 6-4 ATS on the road this season, and are 3-0 ATS and 3-0 S/U as underdogs in 2021.

—The 49ers went 4-5 O/U in games decided by seven points or fewer. The Packers were 5-3 S/U in the same situation. San Francisco was a 3.5-point favorite in the regular-season meeting.

three things to see

Rogers to Adams

The 49ers didn’t have an answer for Adams in the regular-season matchup. He had 12 catches for 132 yards and a TD, and made the catch that set up the game-winning field goal. Rodgers is likely looking to set the tone with his favorite receiver, and San Francisco could be left without two key pieces in Nick Bosa (concussion protocol) and linebacker Fred Warner (ankle). Look for Rodgers to target Adams on the perimeter early, but it won’t be long before that first deep shot against the 49ers secondary.

Who runs the ball?

Of course, Green Bay needs to have a consistent running game between Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon. That won’t be easy against a San Francisco defense that allowed more than 100 rushing yards in just one of its last 10 games. Meanwhile, the 49ers will look to control the clock on Jimmy Garoppolo with Mitchell and Samuel, who has become one of the most exciting double-threat players in the game. Mitchell, who has made a big difference, was not in the lineup at the first meeting. Green Bay needs to keep up momentum on defense with Kenny Clark, and the Packers’ defense is on point here.

Jimmy Garoppolo’s shoulder

Garoppolo suffered a shoulder injury in the wild-card win against the Cowboys, and his future with the 49ers remains dim. He led the go-ahead series in the regular season matchup with the Packers, and had success attacking the middle of the field with Kittle and Samuel. Those are mismatches for the Packers’ secondary, and the solution for Green Bay defensive coordinator Joe Barry is simple. Pump up the bombardment pressure. The Packers could get Za’Darius Smith back for this game, and he could factor in third-and-long situations. If the pressure lands, then the turnovers will follow.

Statistics that matter

We’re not talking about the actual weather, although the forecast calls for what could be a low of two degrees on Saturday night. Green Bay was able to build comfortable first-half leads in its last two divisional playoff games. The Packers led the Rams 19-10 at halftime last season and the Seahawks 21-3 in 2019. Green Bay also jumped out to a 17-0 lead over San Francisco in the regular-season meeting and led 24- 14 in the second half. . The 49ers can’t let the Packers build an early cushion at home this time.

49ers vs Packers Prediction

Rodgers will hear all week about the 0-3 postseason record against the 49ers, and there will be memories of the loss in the 2019 NFC championship game. San Francisco had 285 rushing yards in that game and Garoppolo threw just eight passes. . It’s a little different on the road, even if the cold conditions might help San Francisco a bit. Green Bay, however, follows the same formula that has made them hard to beat at home. Rodgers controls the offense. The Packers settle for field goals in the first half, but a TD pass to Adams and a productive running game make the difference. Garoppolo is forced to make too many long thirds, and a late fumble seals Green Bay’s third straight trip to the NFC championship game.

Packers 31, 49ers 24